Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.146009e-05 0.000071 0.000082 0.000094 0.000107 0.000121 0.000137
2024-12-22 4.712331e-05 0.000060 0.000074 0.000092 0.000112 0.000134 0.000161
2024-12-29 3.741230e-05 0.000052 0.000069 0.000090 0.000116 0.000146 0.000182
2025-01-05 2.999202e-05 0.000045 0.000064 0.000088 0.000119 0.000155 0.000201
2025-01-12 2.387764e-05 0.000039 0.000058 0.000085 0.000119 0.000161 0.000215
2025-01-19 1.878344e-05 0.000033 0.000053 0.000081 0.000118 0.000165 0.000227
2025-01-26 1.522818e-05 0.000029 0.000049 0.000078 0.000119 0.000170 0.000240
2025-02-02 1.389788e-05 0.000028 0.000050 0.000082 0.000127 0.000186 0.000266
2025-02-09 1.202658e-05 0.000026 0.000048 0.000082 0.000131 0.000196 0.000285
2025-02-16 1.186583e-05 0.000027 0.000051 0.000089 0.000144 0.000217 0.000319
2025-02-23 1.059008e-05 0.000026 0.000050 0.000090 0.000149 0.000229 0.000341
2025-03-02 8.370620e-06 0.000022 0.000046 0.000086 0.000146 0.000229 0.000347
2025-03-09 6.748280e-06 0.000020 0.000044 0.000086 0.000151 0.000242 0.000373
2025-03-16 5.135934e-06 0.000017 0.000041 0.000084 0.000153 0.000251 0.000395
2025-03-23 3.884250e-06 0.000015 0.000038 0.000082 0.000155 0.000260 0.000417
2025-03-30 2.852730e-06 0.000013 0.000036 0.000080 0.000156 0.000268 0.000437
2025-04-06 1.987467e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000155 0.000273 0.000453
2025-04-13 1.300272e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000074 0.000153 0.000275 0.000466
2025-04-20 8.725029e-07 0.000008 0.000027 0.000071 0.000153 0.000281 0.000483
2025-04-27 7.420755e-07 0.000007 0.000028 0.000075 0.000162 0.000301 0.000521
2025-05-04 5.478882e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000075 0.000167 0.000314 0.000549
2025-05-11 5.432390e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000081 0.000181 0.000343 0.000602
2025-05-18 4.186211e-07 0.000006 0.000028 0.000083 0.000188 0.000359 0.000636